紐約時報:全民一起來鬥智
(遊戲結果和答案不斷即時更新)
這是一個極有意義、更別說引人入勝的謎題。紐約時報正請所有英文讀者共襄盛舉,一起來鬥智。別人的答案會影響你的輸贏,你的答案(無論輸贏)也會影響後來加入的人。目前已有超過五萬人記錄他們的結果,這數字不斷即時更新中(剛打完這段話,不到兩分鐘,已經增加80人)。總之,這是一個海量估量全民智商的超級遊戲,遊戲卻 elegant (簡單漂亮)到不行。
為讓更多中文讀者理解題意好加入遊戲,以下提供中譯,希望大家一起來親身體驗賽局理論。
玩完後,紐時不僅告訴你你贏了沒有(任何當下,只有一個數字是正確答案),還立即分析你的心思,告訴你你在廣大群眾中所處位置。
請到這裡輸入你的答案:
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2015/08/13/upshot/are-you-smarter-than-other-new-york-times-readers.html?abt=0002&abg=0
題目如下:
Puzzle: Are You Smarter Than 51,607
Other New York Times Readers?
By DAVID LEONHARDT and KEVIN QUEALY AUG. 13, 2015
謎題:你是否比其他51,067位紐約時報讀者聰明?
In this short puzzle, you’ll try to outwit the masses – who are also trying to outwit you.
這是一個簡短的謎題,要你智取大眾,他們同時也在設法打敗你。
Your mission is to read the minds of your fellow Times readers.
你的目標是要猜中其他紐約時報讀者的心思。
We are asking them – and you – to pick a number from 0 to 100, with that number representing your best guess of two-thirds of the average of all numbers chosen in the contest.
我們請讀者(包括你在內)從0到100任選一個數字,這數字的意義是:你覺得本競賽中所有人所猜數字的平均值的三分之二,最可能的答案是什麼?
For example, if the average of all numbers is 58, you would win by picking 39. (No decimals or fractions in your numbers are allowed.) If the average is 33, you’d win by picking 22. If the average is 15, you’d win by picking 10.
比方說,如果所有數字的平均值是58,那麼你猜39就贏了(答案僅限整數,不能加小數點);如果平均值是33,猜22就會贏;如果平均值是15,猜10就會對了。
Stop and think for a second. What is everyone else going to do?
請好好思考片刻,別人會怎麼做?
When you’re ready, enter your guess below. (You can play as many times as you like, but only your first guess will count.)
想好之後,請在下方輸入答案。(要玩幾次隨你高興,不過我們只記錄你第一次的答案。)
________ Submit
________ 送出答案